Thriving Beyond Surviving

The business environment is tough with low consumer and business confidence. Budgets are being cut and marketers are hunkering down to ensure that their brands and businesses (and they themselves!) survive this difficult period. This is kind of action is certainly appropriate for the times but business cycles are called cycles for a reason and it is only a matter of time before things improve. Smart marketers are planning for the inevitable upswing now to ensure that they remain ahead of this curve and set themselves up to thrive beyond this survival period.

Which Way Is Up?

How will you know that we are back on an upswing? If you wait for backward looking economic data you will only know after the event and your competitors may have stolen the jump on you. What are the forward looking indicators for your industry? Sustained stock market growth (how do you define this?)? Perhaps it’s the lunchtime queue returning to your local sandwich shop? Work out your harbinger of growth and start to monitor it now.

What then? Once you are reasonably confident that the upturn is nigh what will you do to leverage it? Plan your activity now so you’ll be ready to act quickly. Will you return immediately to your previous level of advertising (assuming you have cut now) or slowly ramp up? Will you need to bring your customers along on a new journey or reassure them that this in indeed a good time to buy / buy more? By knowing what you need to do and planning your lead times you’ll be best placed to get the jump on your competitors.

Plan Now, Save Later

Governments around the world are working hard to avoid deflation by flooding the economy with stimulating cash, however, policymakers have a poor record when it comes to overshooting the mark. Many commentators (including Warren Buffett) warn that this could lead to significant inflationary pressures (and potentially stagflation).

The best protection against rising prices is to lock in low prices (hey, I never said I was a rocket scientist!). What future costs can you hedge now? Is now the time to lock in future pricing with suppliers? Obviously be careful of committing to purchases that you may need to extract yourself from if this recession turns out to be longer than you initially expect.

Cyclical vs. Permanent

The global financial crisis had a significant impact on all manner of markets. Some of the changes we have seen will revert when things improve but inevitably we have experienced some fundamental shifts in consumer behaviour that will turn out to be more permanent. For example, will consumers revert back to name brands after trying supermarket generics and, in many cases, finding out that they are not too bad?

What changes are you experiencing in your market? Will these revert or are there some fundamental changes to be made in your business model or product offering? Now is the time to plan and commence implementing these changes.